Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Nimes win was 1-0 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.