Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
