Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille2 - 1Nantes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Marseille
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Lille | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Marseille | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Toulouse | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Lille
Friday, August 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, August 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Nice | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Nantes | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Brest | 2 | -1 | 1 |
We said: Marseille 1-0 Nantes
Nantes are likely to be tricky opposition for Marseille, and the home side might need to be patient when it comes to grinding out a result here. We are not expecting a high-scoring contest on Saturday but believe that last season's runners-up will be able to claim all three points in front of their own supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Nantes |
60.58% ( 0.61) | 21.71% ( -0.2) | 17.72% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.44% ( 0.25) | 45.56% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.11% ( 0.23) | 67.89% ( -0.23) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.42% ( 0.28) | 14.58% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.34% ( 0.53) | 42.66% ( -0.53) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.67% ( -0.32) | 39.33% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.97% ( -0.3) | 76.03% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
Marseille 60.57%
Nantes 17.72%
Draw 21.7%
| Marseille | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.61% Total : 60.57% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.72% |
How you voted: Marseille vs Nantes
Marseille
87.7%Draw
8.2%Nantes
4.1%73
