Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
4 - 1
Reims

Faes (13' og.), Tavares (45+1'), Suarez Charris (75', 90+3')
Gigot (59'), Tudor (71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Balogun (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 0-2 AC Milan
Sunday, July 31 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Lorient	0	0	0
10	Marseille	0	0	0
11	Montpellier HSC	0	0	0

Reims

Last Six:

Last Game: Reims 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Nice	0	0	0
14	Reims	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0

Without arguably their two most significant difference makers from a season ago, it could take a while for Reims to adjust their game accordingly, though they should be a difficult team to break down defensively once again. On the other side, the core of the Marseille team from last season are back, and they have made some new signings which should make them a more dynamic team in the attack, so we expect their individual talent to eventually find a way through a Reims backline that could be put under a lot of pressure throughout this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Reims had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Reims
51.66% ( -0.09)	24.88% ( 0.19)	23.46% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 50.6% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.47% (

-0.82)

51.53% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.67% (

-0.72)

73.33% (

0.72)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

-0.36)

19.93% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.91% (

-0.58)

52.08% (

0.57)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.2% (

-0.55)

36.79% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.42% (

-0.55)

73.58% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Marseille 51.65%

Reims 23.46%

Draw 24.87%

Marseille	Draw	Reims
1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.65%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.46%