MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:44:09| >> :60:726:726:
PSG logo
Trophee des Champions | Final
Jul 31, 2022 at 7pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nantes

PSG
4 - 0
Nantes

Messi (22'), Neymar (45+5', 82' pen.), Ramos (57')
Vitinha (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Coco (38'), Moutoussamy (75')
Castelletto (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Trophee des Champions clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Nantes

Losing such an influential attacking outlet in Kolo Muani is a bitter blow for Nantes, but similarly, PSG will have to find a way to stomp their attacking authority without Mbappe in the fold. Kombouare's side have demonstrated some impressive defensive resilience in pre-season, but Galtier's new-look side still possess the creative nous to break through and get their hands on the Trophee des Champions for the 11th time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 12.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
70.6% (1.842 1.84) 17.32% (-0.871 -0.87) 12.09% (-0.968 -0.97)
Both teams to score 52.59% (0.146 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.64% (1.69 1.69)37.36% (-1.689 -1.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.42% (1.798 1.8)59.58% (-1.793 -1.79)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.57% (0.89999999999999 0.9)9.43% (-0.895 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.3% (2.073 2.07)31.7% (-2.072 -2.07)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.07% (-0.417 -0.42)41.93% (0.42 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.62% (-0.363 -0.36)78.38% (0.367 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 70.6%
    Nantes 12.09%
    Draw 17.32%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
2-0 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.395 -0.4)
3-0 @ 8.68% (0.314 0.31)
3-1 @ 7.54% (0.189 0.19)
4-0 @ 5.12% (0.375 0.38)
4-1 @ 4.45% (0.278 0.28)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.045 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.42% (0.263 0.26)
5-1 @ 2.1% (0.207 0.21)
4-2 @ 1.94% (0.1 0.1)
6-0 @ 0.95% (0.136 0.14)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 70.6%
1-1 @ 8.12% (-0.441 -0.44)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.95% (-0.332 -0.33)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.32%
1-2 @ 3.53% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-1 @ 3.44% (-0.331 -0.33)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 12.09%

How you voted: PSG vs Nantes

Paris Saint-Germain
93.3%
Draw
4.8%
Nantes
1.9%
104
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Nantes
3-1
PSG
Kolo (4'), Merlin (15'), Blas (45+5' pen.)
Castelletto (17'), Appiah (45+1')
Neymar (47')
Verratti (38'), Wijnaldum (45+4'), Neymar (50'), Mbappe (83'), Hakimi (90+1'), di Maria (90+2')
Nov 20, 2021 4pm
PSG
3-1
Nantes
Mbappe (2'), Appiah (81' og.), Messi (87')
Verratti (71')
Navas (65')
Kolo (76')
Chirivella (39'), Blas (83')
Mar 14, 2021 8pm
PSG
1-2
Nantes
Draxler (42')
Rafinha (48'), Verratti (67')
Kolo (59'), Simon (71')
Simon (45'), Traore (51')
Oct 31, 2020 8pm
Nantes
0-3
PSG

Blas (32'), Coco (67')
Herrera (47'), Mbappe (65' pen.), Sarabia (88')
Dagba (80')
Feb 4, 2020 8.05pm
Nantes
1-2
PSG
Simon (68')
Traore (85'), Coco (90')
Icardi (29'), Kehrer (57')
Verratti (36'), Meunier (76'), di Maria (90'), Kurzawa (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!