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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 28, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nantes

Marseille
3 - 1
Nantes

Thauvin (2'), Payet (35'), Benedetto (60' pen.)
Payet (47'), Rongier (54'), Gonzalez (71'), Strootman (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Blas (73')
Castelletto (57'), Blas (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawNantes
38.05%29.2%32.75%
Both teams to score 44.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.31%62.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.76%82.24%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17%31.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73%68.26%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65%35.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89%72.11%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 38.05%
    Nantes 32.75%
    Draw 29.19%
MarseilleDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.88%
2-1 @ 7.67%
2-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 38.05%
1-1 @ 13.39%
0-0 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.19%
0-1 @ 11.7%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 6.08%
1-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 32.75%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 26
Marseille
1-3
Nantes
Sanson (39')
Amavi (44')
Limbombe (34'), Bamba (53'), Gonzalez (90' og.)
Simon (45'), Traore (61'), Girotto (64')
Aug 17, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Nantes
0-0
Marseille
Sanson (42'), Kamara (48'), Strootman (88')
Apr 28, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 34
Marseille
1-2
Nantes
Balotelli (25')
Ocampos (17'), Payet (32'), Balotelli (41'), Gustavo (45')
Moutoussamy (22'), Girotto (50')
Traore (42')
Dec 5, 2018 6pm
Gameweek 16
Nantes
3-2
Marseille
Sala (30'), Toure (45'), Boschilia (64')
Sanson (28'), Thauvin (36' pen.)
Strootman (15')
Mar 4, 2018 8pm
Marseille
1-1
Nantes
Thauvin (90')
Gustavo (4'), Rami (54'), Amavi (69')
Dubois (11')
Dubois (35'), Pallois (39'), Girotto (87')
Pallois (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG65102051516
2MonacoMonaco6510123916
3Marseille6411157813
4Reims6321108211
5Lille6312117410
6Lens624052310
7NantesNantes62319639
8StrasbourgStrasbourg6231121029
9Nice622214688
10Rennes621310917
11Lyon6213812-47
12Auxerre6204812-46
13Brest6204813-56
14Le HavreLe Havre6204713-66
15Toulouse612358-35
16Montpellier HSCMontpellier6114617-114
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne6114317-144
18Angers6024412-82


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