Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Dec 1, 2021 at 8pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
0 - 1
Marseille

Pallois (14'), Lafont (78')
Pallois (32')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gerson (30')
Gerson (71'), Gonzalez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Marseille have probably overcome enough adversity during this season to convince them that nothing can stand in their way. Games involving Nantes tend to see both teams score so we are backing a 2-1 away win on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Marseille
35.1%	27.12%	37.77%

Both teams to score 50.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.08%

54.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.79%

76.2%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23%

29.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.16%

65.84%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85%

28.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.16%

63.84%

Score Analysis

Nantes 35.1%

Marseille 37.77%

Draw 27.12%

Nantes	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 6.15% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.1%	1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12%	0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 6.73% 1-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.77%