Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38

May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Auguste Delaune

Reims
2 - 3
Nice

Ekitike (9'), Doumbia (17')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Delort (75' pen., 77', 82')
Dante (25'), Brahimi (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reims

Last Six:

Last Game: Reims 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Brest	38	-8	48
12	Reims	38	-1	46
13	Montpellier HSC	38	-12	43

Nice

Last Six:

Last Game: Reims 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Monaco	38	25	69
4	Nice	38	16	67
5	Rennes	38	42	66

Nice's team spirit will have been thoroughly tested by a fortnight in which they lost the Coupe de France final and then fell out of the fight for the Ligue 1 podium. They have also not drawn any of their last eight games and we are backing that all-or-nothing streak to continue with a win here. Whether or not that will prove to be enough for a European spot remains to be seen. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Reims had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Reims	Draw	Nice
34.66% ( -0.03)	28.31% ( 0.05)	37.03% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46.81% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.56% (

-0.17)

59.44% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.19% (

-0.13)

79.81% (

0.13)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.67% (

-0.11)

32.33% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.16% (

-0.12)

68.84% (

0.12)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.18% (

-0.1)

30.82% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.91% (

-0.12)

67.09% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Reims 34.66%

Nice 37.02%

Draw 28.31%

Reims	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 34.66%	1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.31%	0-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 37.02%