Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier2 - 0Lorient
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Lorient 0-1 Brest
Sunday, March 31 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 31 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
35
We said: Montpellier HSC 2-1 Lorient
Montpellier have enjoyed their recent meetings with Lorient, triumphing in four of their last five league matches, and we can see another success for the home side here. Lorient have enough quality to score, but we are finding it difficult to back them to pick up a positive result on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
45.51% ( 0.08) | 23.57% ( 0.03) | 30.92% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 61.16% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.51% ( -0.18) | 40.48% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.14% ( -0.18) | 62.86% ( 0.18) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.91% ( -0.04) | 18.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.99% ( -0.07) | 49% ( 0.06) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( -0.16) | 25.33% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.88% ( -0.21) | 60.12% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC 45.51%
Lorient 30.92%
Draw 23.56%
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.7% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.92% |
How you voted: Montpellier vs Lorient
Montpellier HSC
57.1%Draw
21.4%Lorient
21.4%14
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2pm
Dec 29, 2022 4pm
