Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
45.51% (![]() | 23.57% (![]() | 30.92% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.16% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.51% (![]() | 40.48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.14% (![]() | 62.86% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.91% (![]() | 18.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.99% (![]() | 49% (![]() |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% (![]() | 25.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.88% (![]() | 60.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
2-1 @ 9.2% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.83% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 3.7% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 10.75% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.32% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.65% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.39% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |