MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 02:42:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lorient logo

Montpellier
2 - 0
Lorient

Savanier (55' pen.), Karamoh (90')
Ferri (14'), Savanier (42'), Khazri (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ponceau (15'), Yongwa (44'), Mendy (45+1'), Adjei (52'), Bamba (59'), Katseris (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-1 Brest
Sunday, March 31 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 2-1 Lorient

Montpellier have enjoyed their recent meetings with Lorient, triumphing in four of their last five league matches, and we can see another success for the home side here. Lorient have enough quality to score, but we are finding it difficult to back them to pick up a positive result on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLorient
45.51% (0.077999999999996 0.08) 23.57% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 30.92% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 61.16% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.51% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)40.48% (0.174 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.14% (-0.184 -0.18)62.86% (0.179 0.18)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.91% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)18.08% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.99% (-0.067 -0.07)49% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (-0.155 -0.16)25.33% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (-0.213 -0.21)60.12% (0.207 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 45.51%
    Lorient 30.92%
    Draw 23.56%
Montpellier HSCDrawLorient
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.7% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 45.51%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.29% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.92%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lorient

Montpellier HSC
57.1%
Draw
21.4%
Lorient
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 7
Lorient
0-3
Montpellier

Ponceau (20'), Talbi (33')
Adams (30', 89'), Savanier (73' pen.)
Esteve (61')
May 14, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Montpellier
1-1
Lorient
Maouassa (90+4')
Faivre (68')
Dec 29, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 16
Lorient
0-2
Montpellier
Savanier (3'), Wahi (22')
Feb 20, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 25
Lorient
0-1
Montpellier

Laporte (31'), Innocent (47')
Savanier (56')
Oyongo (60'), Souquet (61')
Aug 22, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Montpellier
3-1
Lorient
Savanier (50'), Mavididi (58'), Delort (83')
Bertaud (21' og.)
Lemoine (49'), Monconduit (67'), Mendes (84'), Hergault (87')
Mendes (86'), Hergault (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!