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Saint-Etienne
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Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Lorient logo

Monaco
2 - 2
Lorient

Mendy (27' og.), Fofana (60')
Minamino (54'), Zakaria (62')
Zakaria (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Singo (1' og.), Bakayoko (90+5')
Mendy (71')
Aiyegun (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 0-2 Lyon
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 2-2 Lorient

Both sides will be desperate to get a result in this game as they find themselves in their own respective fights at opposing ends of the table. Four of the last six matches between these teams have ended as draws, with each side taking one win apiece in the remaining two. We expect this game to follow the trend of recent tight affairs and equal results and end all square after 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
MonacoDrawLorient
61.14% (0.058 0.06) 20.76% (-0.104 -0.1) 18.1% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 55.79% (0.456 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (0.556 0.56)40.68% (-0.557 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94% (0.568 0.57)63.06% (-0.569 -0.57)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (0.19199999999999 0.19)12.84% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.79% (0.392 0.39)39.2% (-0.393 -0.39)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.01% (0.38200000000001 0.38)35.99% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.23% (0.386 0.39)72.77% (-0.386 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 61.14%
    Lorient 18.1%
    Draw 20.76%
MonacoDrawLorient
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 9.73% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.42% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.043 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 61.14%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.05 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.76%
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.035 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 18.1%

How you voted: Monaco vs Lorient

Monaco
74.1%
Draw
22.2%
Lorient
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 5
Lorient
2-2
Monaco
Aiyegun (2'), Faivre (90+8')
Golovin (17'), Balogun (69')
Zakaria (68'), Golovin (90+8')
Apr 16, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 31
Monaco
3-1
Lorient
Diatta (14'), Golovin (27'), Volland (55')
Kone (86' pen.)
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Lorient
2-2
Monaco
Ouattara (75'), Moffi (77')
Embolo (61'), Ben Yedder (90+3')
Feb 13, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 24
Monaco
0-0
Lorient
Henrique (45'), Aguilar (73'), Akliouche (89')
Boisgard (37'), Lauriente (81')
Aug 13, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 2
Lorient
1-0
Monaco
Moffi (31' pen.)
Mendes (52'), Monconduit (56'), Hamel (85')

Jakobs (45'), Volland (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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