Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Monaco2 - 2Lorient
We said: Monaco 2-2 Lorient
Both sides will be desperate to get a result in this game as they find themselves in their own respective fights at opposing ends of the table. Four of the last six matches between these teams have ended as draws, with each side taking one win apiece in the remaining two. We expect this game to follow the trend of recent tight affairs and equal results and end all square after 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
61.14% ( 0.06) | 20.76% ( -0.1) | 18.1% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.32% ( 0.56) | 40.68% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.94% ( 0.57) | 63.06% ( -0.57) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.15% ( 0.19) | 12.84% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.79% ( 0.39) | 39.2% ( -0.39) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.01% ( 0.38) | 35.99% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.23% ( 0.39) | 72.77% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
Monaco 61.14%
Lorient 18.1%
Draw 20.76%
| Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.11)1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 61.14% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 18.1% |
How you voted: Monaco vs Lorient
Monaco
74.1%Draw
22.2%Lorient
3.7%27
