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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
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Lille
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Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Strasbourg
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Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Brest logo

Lorient
0 - 1
Brest


Dieng (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Del Castillo (86')
Lala (45+1'), Martin (76'), Brassier (80')
Brahimi (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Lille
Sunday, March 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-2 Brest

While Brest have the third-best road record in Ligue 1 — and Lorient have the fourth-worst home return in the division — the Pirates' dearth of goals (16) in 13 away matches suggests Sunday's match will be tight. Nevertheless, Roy's team are adept against struggling clubs, pointing to a narrow victory for the second-placed side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.

Result
LorientDrawBrest
26.55% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.86% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 48.59% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (0.026999999999994 0.03)48.94% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (0.023 0.02)71.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.7% (0.004999999999999 0)69.3% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (0.019000000000005 0.02)20.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.53% (0.030000000000001 0.03)52.47% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 26.55%
    Brest 48.58%
    Draw 24.85%
LorientDrawBrest
1-0 @ 7.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 26.55%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.46% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 5.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.02% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-4 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 48.58%

How you voted: Lorient vs Brest

Lorient
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Brest
57.1%
28
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Brest
4-0
Lorient
Doumbia (22', 25', 29', 45+3')
Brassier (87')

Junior Kroupi (70'), Silva (86')
May 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 34
Lorient
2-1
Brest
Kone (32', 51')
Del Castillo (69' pen.)
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
1-2
Lorient
Moffi (24', 53')
Feb 27, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 26
Brest
0-1
Lorient

Satriano (45+4'), Agoume (81')
Chardonnet (29')
Kone (73')
Innocent (43'), Lauriente (45'), Mendes (45+4'), Abergel (65')
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Lorient
1-2
Brest
Grbic (5')
Silva (76')
Hergault (28')
Faivre (58' pen.), Mounie (80')
Honorat (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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