Lorient0 - 1Brest
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
for
Sunday, March 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lorient 1-2 Brest
While Brest have the third-best road record in Ligue 1 — and Lorient have the fourth-worst home return in the division — the Pirates' dearth of goals (16) in 13 away matches suggests Sunday's match will be tight. Nevertheless, Roy's team are adept against struggling clubs, pointing to a narrow victory for the second-placed side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Brest |
26.55% ( -0.01) | 24.86% ( -0.01) | 48.59% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.06% ( 0.03) | 48.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.97% ( 0.02) | 71.03% ( -0.03) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( 0) | 32.74% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.7% ( 0) | 69.3% ( -0.01) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.82% ( 0.02) | 20.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.53% ( 0.03) | 52.47% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 26.55% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 48.58% |
