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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
May 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera
PSG logo

Nice
1 - 2
PSG

Cho (32')
Rosario (90+3')
Bard (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Barcola (18'), Zague (23')
Zague (20'), Beraldo (26'), Marquinhos (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 1-0 Le Havre
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain

After failing to keep clean sheets in three of the preceding four matches at the Allianz Riviera, Nice have prevented Lorient (3-0) and Le Havre (1-0) from scoring, even if the opposition's struggles should be considered. Nevertheless, the Eaglets' motivation to secure a coveted European berth should see them avoid defeat against a PSG side expected to be at full strength again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Nice had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawParis Saint-Germain
31.01% (0.052000000000003 0.05) 24.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 44.1% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.58% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49% (0.050000000000004 0.05)46.51% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.21% (0.045999999999999 0.05)68.79% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (0.059999999999988 0.06)28.25% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (0.074999999999996 0.07)63.96% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86%21.14% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Nice 31.01%
    Paris Saint-Germain 44.1%
    Draw 24.89%
NiceDrawParis Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.77% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.01%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 44.1%

How you voted: Nice vs PSG

Nice
21.5%
Draw
22.8%
Paris Saint-Germain
55.7%
158
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2024 8.10pm
Quarter-Finals
PSG
3-1
Nice
Mbappe (14'), Ruiz (33'), Beraldo (60')
Laborde (37')
Sep 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
PSG
2-3
Nice
Mbappe (29', 87')
Barcola (83'), Skriniar (89')
Moffi (21', 68'), Laborde (53')
Thuram (35'), Bard (63'), Moffi (70'), Bulka (71'), Lotomba (90+5')
Apr 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 30
Nice
0-2
PSG
Messi (26'), Ramos (76')
Oct 1, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
PSG
2-1
Nice
Messi (29'), Mbappe (83')
Laborde (47')
Mar 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Nice
1-0
PSG
Delort (88')
Lemina (33')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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