Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Nice3 - 0Lorient
We said: Nice 2-0 Lorient
It is difficult to convincingly back either side to come out on top considering their respective poor runs of form, but Nice will be regarded as favourites on home soil and should find a way to claim three precious points against a Lorient side whom they have not lost against in their previous four meetings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lorient |
59.46% ( 0.01) | 21.76% ( 0) | 18.78% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.9% ( -0.02) | 44.1% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.52% ( -0.02) | 66.48% ( 0.02) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.55% ( -0) | 14.46% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.59% ( -0.01) | 42.41% ( 0.01) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% ( -0.03) | 37.26% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.96% ( -0.03) | 74.05% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Nice 59.45%
Lorient 18.78%
Draw 21.75%
| Nice | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.22% 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 59.45% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.75% | 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 18.78% |
How you voted: Nice vs Lorient
Nice
88.1%Draw
7.1%Lorient
4.8%42
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 2pm
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Oct 30, 2022 4.05pm
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Lorient
1-0
Nice
