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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Le Havre

PSG
3 - 3
Le Havre

Barcola (29'), Hakimi (78'), Ramos (90+5')
Zaire-Emery (74'), Mbappe (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Operi (19'), Ayew (38'), Toure (61' pen.)
Sangante (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Metz
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Le Havre

The hosts come into this match in excellent form, having won three consecutive matches 4-1 in all competitions, and they are still well on course for the treble. There is sure to be an amazing atmosphere inside the Parc Des Princes this weekend, and we feel the Parisians will respond by securing the Ligue 1 title in front of their adoring fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.92%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 10.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLe Havre
72.92% (-0.28299999999999 -0.28) 16.18% (0.127 0.13) 10.9% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 52.75% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.86% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)35.14% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.86% (-0.161 -0.16)57.15% (0.167 0.17)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.66% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)8.35% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.93% (-0.241 -0.24)29.07% (0.246 0.25)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.55% (0.187 0.19)42.45% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.18% (0.158 0.16)78.83% (-0.15299999999999 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 72.92%
    Le Havre 10.9%
    Draw 16.18%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLe Havre
2-0 @ 10.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.04% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.62% (-0.065 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.81% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.79% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.15% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 72.92%
1-1 @ 7.54% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.54% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.18%
1-2 @ 3.23% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.04% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.3% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 10.9%

How you voted: PSG vs Le Havre

Paris Saint-Germain
90.6%
Draw
5.9%
Le Havre
3.5%
85
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 14
Le Havre
0-2
PSG

Operi (68'), Alioui (76')
Mbappe (23'), Vitinha (89')
Pereira (87')
Donnarumma (10')
Jul 21, 2023 4pm
Club Friendlies
PSG
2-0
Le Havre
Ekitike (53'), Mbappe (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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