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Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
PSG logo

Marseille
0 - 2
PSG

FT(HT: 0-0)
Vitinha (53'), Ramos (85')
Beraldo (15'), Hernandez (38'), Pereira (40'), Donnarumma (45')
Beraldo (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Marseille 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Suffering cruel blow after cruel blow when it comes to the availability of their defenders, Marseille's remarkable run at the Orange Velodrome appears destined to come to an end against the runaway leaders, even if the international break allowed Gasset and co the chance to reset and dissect. A well-stocked midfield and attack can still ask questions of PSG's own ravaged backline, but Enrique's attackers will be licking their lips at the prospect of facing their injury-hit Classique foes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
36.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.83% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 39.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 62.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.95% (0.020000000000003 0.02)40.05% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.58% (0.022000000000006 0.02)62.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.23% (0.012 0.01)21.77% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.04% (0.018999999999998 0.02)54.95% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.37% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)20.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.8% (0.011000000000003 0.01)53.19% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 36.92%
    Paris Saint-Germain 39.24%
    Draw 23.82%
MarseilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.24%
1-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 36.92%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.49%
2-3 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 39.24%

How you voted: Marseille vs PSG

Marseille
19.2%
Draw
15.8%
Paris Saint-Germain
65.1%
146
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
PSG
4-0
Marseille
Hakimi (8'), Kolo (37'), Ramos (47', 89')

Gigot (73'), Veretout (82'), Lodi (85')
Feb 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Marseille
0-3
PSG
Mbappe (25', 55'), Messi (29')
Feb 8, 2023 8.10pm
Round of 16
Marseille
2-1
PSG
Sanchez (31' pen.), Malinovskyi (57')
Ramos (45+2')
Oct 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
PSG
1-0
Marseille
Neymar (45+1')
Apr 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
PSG
2-1
Marseille
Neymar (12'), Mbappe (45+4' pen.)
Verratti (17'), Mendes (37'), Gueye (46'), Neymar (55'), Mbappe (90+1'), Donnarumma (90+1')
Caleta-Car (31')
Gerson (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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