Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30

Apr 21, 2024 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
4 - 1
Lyon

Matic (3' og.), Beraldo (6'), Ramos (32', 42')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Nuamah (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Barcelona 1-4 PSG
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 4-3 Brest
Sunday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 1-1 Lyon

After the elation of Tuesday night, we are expecting a potentially limp performance from PSG on Sunday, when Lyon could end up earning a result from their visit to the French capital. Les Gones are enjoying a good run of form and will be confident of upsetting the odds at Parc des Princes this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lyon
47.17% ( 0.17)	23.06% ( 0.01)	29.76% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 62.3% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.31% (

-0.15)

38.68% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.01% (

-0.16)

60.98% (

0.16)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.26% (

16.73% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.34% (

0.01)

46.65% (

-0.01)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.82% (

-0.19)

25.17% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.1% (

-0.26)

59.89% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 47.17%

Lyon 29.76%

Draw 23.05%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.3% Total : 47.17%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.05%	1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.76%