We said: Rennes 2-0 Brest
With Rennes welcoming three key cogs back to the team at a vital moment and Brest losing their top goalscorer and joint-top assister, this is the ideal opportunity for Genesio's side to pick up a morale-boosting win.
Les Pirates' leaky defence on the road has cost them all season long, and a refreshed Rennes side ought to give their supporters something to cheer with a professional performance.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Brest had a probability of 8.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.13%) and 3-0 (11.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rennes in this match.