Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lyon |
27.25% | 25.03% | 47.71% |
Both teams to score 53.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.81% | 49.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.75% | 71.25% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.68% | 32.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.17% | 68.82% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.35% | 20.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.78% | 53.21% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 7.54% 2-1 @ 6.72% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.25% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-2 @ 8.3% 1-3 @ 4.93% 0-3 @ 4.37% 2-3 @ 2.79% 1-4 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.65% Total : 47.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |