Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Strasbourg |
65.73% | 19.59% | 14.67% |
Both teams to score 52.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.14% | 41.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.74% | 64.26% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.09% | 11.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.75% | 37.25% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.05% | 40.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.49% | 77.5% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-0 @ 11.03% 1-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 6.99% 4-0 @ 4.17% 4-1 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 3.12% 5-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.61% Total : 65.72% | 1-1 @ 9.27% 0-0 @ 4.88% 2-2 @ 4.4% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.59% | 0-1 @ 4.35% 1-2 @ 4.14% 0-2 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.31% 1-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.7% Total : 14.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |