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Ligue 1
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Lens logo

Troyes
1 - 3
Lens

Biancone (14')
Kabore (9')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Danso (42'), Kalimuendo (45'), Clauss (71')
Medina (19'), Frankowski (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

Last Six:
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Lens

Last Six:
Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 1-2 Lens

 With the hosts now feeling comfortable and the visitors fighting to keep their European hopes alive, we lean towards an away win at the weekend. Lens find themselves in an impressive run of form, and we see them continuing that with a victory being much-needed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawLens
35.71% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 27.98% (0.0010000000000012 0) 36.31% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.86% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.82% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)58.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.17% (-0.004999999999999 -0)78.83% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.010000000000005 0.01)31.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (0.012 0.01)67.32% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)30.63% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)66.87% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 35.71%
    Lens 36.3%
    Draw 27.97%
TroyesDrawLens
1-0 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.7% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.71%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 36.3%

How you voted: Troyes vs Lens

Troyes
18.5%
Draw
11.1%
Lens
70.4%
27
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Lens
4-0
Troyes
Kalimuendo (14'), Said (30'), Clauss (35'), Frankowski (60')
Ganago (69')

Batlles (15'), Rodrigues (74')
Feb 4, 2020 8.05pm
Lens
1-0
Troyes
Jean (65')
Haidara (48'), Michelin (90')

Kouame (19'), El Hajjam (45')
Kouame (36')
Aug 24, 2019 2pm
Troyes
2-0
Lens
Kouyate (45'), Pintor (83')
Souare (16'), Giraudon (18'), Tardieu (61'), Pintor (93')

Sotoca (46')
Aug 13, 2019 8.05pm
Troyes
1-2
Lens
Kouyate (10')
Salmier (34'), Mambo (74'), Giraudon (77'), Kouyate (89')
Sene (75'), Banza (84')
Perez (31'), Teka (39')
May 24, 2019 5pm
Troyes
1-2
Lens
Pele (44' pen.)
Poaty (26'), Martins Pereira (35'), Giraudon (103'), Darbion (117')
Martins Pereira (67')
Gomis (3'), Banza (108')
Leca (40'), Gillet (40'), Ambrose (71'), Centonze (117')
Leca (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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