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Ligue 1
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Lens logo

Troyes
1 - 3
Lens

Biancone (14')
Kabore (9')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Danso (42'), Kalimuendo (45'), Clauss (71')
Medina (19'), Frankowski (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

Last Six:
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Lens

Last Six:
Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 1-2 Lens

 With the hosts now feeling comfortable and the visitors fighting to keep their European hopes alive, we lean towards an away win at the weekend. Lens find themselves in an impressive run of form, and we see them continuing that with a victory being much-needed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawLens
35.71% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 27.98% (0.0010000000000012 0) 36.31% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.86% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.82% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)58.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.17% (-0.004999999999999 -0)78.83% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.010000000000005 0.01)31.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (0.012 0.01)67.32% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)30.63% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)66.87% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 35.71%
    Lens 36.3%
    Draw 27.97%
TroyesDrawLens
1-0 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.7% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.71%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 36.3%

How you voted: Troyes vs Lens

Troyes
18.5%
Draw
11.1%
Lens
70.4%
27
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Lens
4-0
Troyes
Kalimuendo (14'), Said (30'), Clauss (35'), Frankowski (60')
Ganago (69')

Batlles (15'), Rodrigues (74')
Feb 4, 2020 8.05pm
Lens
1-0
Troyes
Jean (65')
Haidara (48'), Michelin (90')

Kouame (19'), El Hajjam (45')
Kouame (36')
Aug 24, 2019 2pm
Troyes
2-0
Lens
Kouyate (45'), Pintor (83')
Souare (16'), Giraudon (18'), Tardieu (61'), Pintor (93')

Sotoca (46')
Aug 13, 2019 8.05pm
Troyes
1-2
Lens
Kouyate (10')
Salmier (34'), Mambo (74'), Giraudon (77'), Kouyate (89')
Sene (75'), Banza (84')
Perez (31'), Teka (39')
May 24, 2019 5pm
Troyes
1-2
Lens
Pele (44' pen.)
Poaty (26'), Martins Pereira (35'), Giraudon (103'), Darbion (117')
Martins Pereira (67')
Gomis (3'), Banza (108')
Leca (40'), Gillet (40'), Ambrose (71'), Centonze (117')
Leca (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG20155054193550
2Marseille20124443251840
3MonacoMonaco20114536241237
4Lille2098333201335
5Nice2097439261334
6Lens209652518733
7Lyon208663226630
8Brest2091103136-528
9StrasbourgStrasbourg207673332127
10Toulouse207582122-126
11Auxerre206592733-623
12Angers206592229-723
13Reims205782629-322
14NantesNantes204972430-621
15Rennes2062122730-320
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2053121943-2418
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier2043132046-2615
18Le HavreLe Havre2042141539-2414
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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