Lens2 - 0Montpellier
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Reims | 38 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSC | 38 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
We said: Lens 2-1 Montpellier HSC
Buoyed by a derby victory, Lens will carry momentum into Wednesday's contest, and we think the motivation of a top-five finish will inspire them to victory over a Montpellier side who are experiencing a poor run of form after losing two of their last three matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 64.97% | 19.83% | 15.2% |
| Both teams to score 52.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.18% | 41.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.77% | 64.23% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.89% | 12.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.32% | 37.68% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.79% | 40.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.16% | 76.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-0 @ 10.85% 1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 6.96% 4-0 @ 4.03% 4-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 3.17% 5-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.56% Total : 64.97% | 1-1 @ 9.37% 0-0 @ 4.87% 2-2 @ 4.5% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.83% | 0-1 @ 4.44% 1-2 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.37% 1-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.81% Total : 15.2% |
