Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

Apr 24, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Municipal du Ray

Nice
1 - 0
Troyes

Thuram (90+3')
Lotomba (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tardieu (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

Last Six:

Last Game: Reims 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Monaco	38	25	69
4	Nice	38	16	67
5	Rennes	38	42	66

Troyes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Angers	38	-11	41
15	Troyes	38	-16	38
16	Lorient	38	-28	36

On paper, this should be a routine three points for Nice, but there can certainly be no guarantees given their recent results. However, we expect Troyes to sit back against their more illustrious hosts, a tactic which may only invite pressure and give Nice a much-needed upper hand. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nice.

Result
Nice	Draw	Troyes
57.24%	23.61%	19.14%

Both teams to score 48.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.65%

51.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.83%

73.16%

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.27%

17.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.61%

48.39%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.92%

41.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.37%

77.62%

Score Analysis

Nice 57.23%

Troyes 19.14%

Draw 23.61%

Nice	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 12.59% 2-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 6.29% 3-1 @ 5.59% 4-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.23%	1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.61%	0-1 @ 6.48% 1-2 @ 4.99% 0-2 @ 2.88% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.14%