Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
-0.35) 
0.48) 
