Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.8%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 26.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.
