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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 5
Sep 26, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stade Nungesser
Caen

Valenciennes
1 - 0
Caen

Ntim (10')
D'Almeida (32'), Masson (43'), Spano Rahou (44'), Prior (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Deminguet (44')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Valenciennes and Caen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Caen had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valenciennes in this match.

Result
ValenciennesDrawCaen
40.35%29.14%30.5%
Both teams to score 43.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.06%62.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.58%82.42%
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43%30.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2%66.8%
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84%37.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.06%73.94%
Score Analysis
    Valenciennes 40.35%
    Caen 30.49%
    Draw 29.13%
ValenciennesDrawCaen
1-0 @ 13.46%
2-0 @ 7.98%
2-1 @ 7.9%
3-0 @ 3.15%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 0.93%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.13%
0-1 @ 11.24%
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 30.49%

Head to Head
Mar 13, 2020 7pm
Oct 18, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 11
Caen
0-0
Valenciennes
Pi (41'), Deminguet (65')
Masson (35'), Brassier (40'), Ntim (67')
May 20, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris FCParis FC1383222111127
2Lorient1382326151126
3Metz147432213925
4DunkerqueDunkerque138142218425
5GuingampGuingamp147162419522
6Annecy136432118322
7AmiensAmiens146261718-120
8Laval145452116519
9PauPau145451718-119
10Grenoble145361715218
11Bastia123721313016
12Clermont144461316-316
13Rodez AFRodez AF134362422215
14Troyes144371117-615
15Caen134271417-314
16Ajaccio124261013-314
17Red Star144281327-1414
18Martigues14239829-219


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