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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 5
Sep 26, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stade Nungesser
Caen

Valenciennes
1 - 0
Caen

Ntim (10')
D'Almeida (32'), Masson (43'), Spano Rahou (44'), Prior (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Deminguet (44')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Valenciennes and Caen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Caen had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valenciennes in this match.

Result
ValenciennesDrawCaen
40.35%29.14%30.5%
Both teams to score 43.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.06%62.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.58%82.42%
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43%30.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2%66.8%
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84%37.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.06%73.94%
Score Analysis
    Valenciennes 40.35%
    Caen 30.49%
    Draw 29.13%
ValenciennesDrawCaen
1-0 @ 13.46%
2-0 @ 7.98%
2-1 @ 7.9%
3-0 @ 3.15%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 0.93%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.13%
0-1 @ 11.24%
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 30.49%

Head to Head
Mar 13, 2020 7pm
Oct 18, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 11
Caen
0-0
Valenciennes
Pi (41'), Deminguet (65')
Masson (35'), Brassier (40'), Ntim (67')
May 20, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient21134436201643
2Paris FCParis FC21124532191340
3Metz21108331151638
4DunkerqueDunkerque2111373025536
5GuingampGuingamp21112835251035
6Laval2197531201134
7Annecy219662726133
8Grenoble219392526-130
9PauPau217862423129
10AmiensAmiens2192102228-629
11Bastia2151242420427
12Troyes2173112223-124
13Clermont216691924-524
14Ajaccio2173111625-924
15Rodez AFRodez AF2165103336-323
16Red Star2164112238-1622
17Martigues2153131437-2318
18Caen2143141932-1315


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