Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 41.11%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 28.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 1-0 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.