Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
