Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Sochaux had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 2-1 (7.47%). The likeliest Sochaux win was 0-1 (12.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.