Ligue 2 | Gameweek 27
Mar 15, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lorient4 - 0Bastia
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Lorient and Bastia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Paris FC 3-2 Lorient
Saturday, March 8 at 1pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, March 8 at 1pm in Ligue 2
Goals
for
for
45
Last Game: Bastia 1-0 Martigues
Friday, March 7 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Friday, March 7 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Goals
for
for
29
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Bastia |
59.54% ( -0.63) | 22.9% ( 0.29) | 17.56% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 47.86% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.28% ( -0.65) | 50.72% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% ( -0.58) | 72.62% ( 0.58) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.31% ( -0.44) | 16.69% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.44% ( -0.8) | 46.56% ( 0.81) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.44% ( 0.03) | 42.56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.08% ( 0.02) | 78.92% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Lorient 59.53%
Bastia 17.57%
Draw 22.89%
| Lorient | Draw | Bastia |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.86% Total : 59.53% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.57% |
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 5pm
Round of 32
Bastia
1-1
Lorient
(Aggregate 1-1 | Lorient win 4-1 on penalties)
Sainati (81')
Kone (64')
Aug 20, 2016 7pm
Lorient
0-3
Bastia
Saint-Maximin (26'), Crivelli (42', 81')
Mostefa (7'), Diallo Sadio (35'), Marange (44'), Djiku (67')
Mostefa (7'), Diallo Sadio (35'), Marange (44'), Djiku (67')
