Ligue 2 | Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
Bastia1 - 1Metz
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Metz.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Metz had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bastia | Draw | Metz |
41.5% ( -0.09) | 28.78% ( -0.01) | 29.71% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 44.27% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38% ( 0.07) | 61.99% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.26% ( 0.05) | 81.73% ( -0.05) |
Bastia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.56% ( -0.02) | 29.44% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.56% ( -0.02) | 65.44% ( 0.02) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.74% ( 0.12) | 37.25% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.96% ( 0.12) | 74.03% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Bastia 41.5%
Metz 29.7%
Draw 28.78%
Bastia | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 13.41% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 41.5% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.78% | 0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 29.7% |
How you voted: Bastia vs Metz
Bastia
50.0%Draw
16.7%Metz
33.3%6
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Metz
3-2
Bastia
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Dec 10, 2016 7pm
Bastia
2-0
Metz
Cohade (45'), Niguette (52')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-02-02 03:00:12
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Lorient | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 43 |
2 | Paris FCParis FC | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 40 |
3 | Metz | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 38 |
4 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 36 |
5 | GuingampGuingamp | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 35 |
6 | Laval | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 34 |
7 | Annecy | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 33 |
8 | Grenoble | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 30 |
9 | PauPau | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 29 |
10 | AmiensAmiens | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 29 |
11 | Bastia | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Troyes | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 24 |
13 | Clermont | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 24 |
14 | Ajaccio | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 24 |
15 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Red Star | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 22 |
17 | Martigues | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 18 |
18 | Caen | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 15 |
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