Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 47.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lorient in this match.
-0.14) 
0.23) 
