Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.