Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 41.33%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 28.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.39%) and 1-2 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 1-0 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.