MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 06:45:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 22
Feb 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
3 - 1
Bastia

Saletros (50'), Mendy (69' pen., 82')
Brahimi (40'), Ntim (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bai (88')
Ducrocq (31'), Sainati (63'), Salles-Lamonge (71')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Annecy 2-0 Caen
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 2-0 St Etienne
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.56%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
CaenDrawBastia
41.56% (0.947 0.95) 29.64% (-0.583 -0.58) 28.8% (-0.367 -0.37)
Both teams to score 41.71% (1.257 1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.03% (1.607 1.61)64.96% (-1.612 -1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.13% (1.107 1.11)83.86% (-1.113 -1.11)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (1.387 1.39)30.89% (-1.392 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82% (1.601 1.6)67.18% (-1.607 -1.61)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.36% (0.616 0.62)39.64% (-0.622 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.68% (0.566 0.57)76.32% (-0.571 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    Caen 41.55%
    Bastia 28.8%
    Draw 29.64%
CaenDrawBastia
1-0 @ 14.38% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.142 0.14)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.26 0.26)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.177 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.06% (0.213 0.21)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.12 0.12)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.55%
1-1 @ 13.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 12.24% (-0.75 -0.75)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.64%
0-1 @ 11.33% (-0.49 -0.49)
1-2 @ 6.16% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 28.8%

How you voted: Caen vs Bastia

Caen
57.1%
Draw
42.9%
Bastia
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 8pm
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
Caen
2-1
Bastia
Da Costa (27', 53')
Lepenant (65')
Salles-Lamonge (15')
Santelli (7'), Palun (41'), Le Cardinal (75'), Vincent (90+3')
Sep 18, 2021 6pm
Bastia
1-1
Caen
Santelli (13')
Bocognano (79'), Quemper (89')
Mendy (90+1' pen.)
Wadja (71')
Feb 5, 2019 8pm
Round of 16
Bastia
2-2
Caen
Caen win 5-3 on penalties
Poggi (70'), Santelli (117')
Bocognano (8'), Kifoueti (77')
Tchokounte (4'), Ninga (94')
Sankoh (27'), Gradit (41'), Guilbert (84')
Jan 28, 2017 7pm
Bastia
1-1
Caen
Saint-Maximin (26')
Mostefa (45'), Rose (91')
Rodelin (45' pen.)
Da Silva (45'), Adeoti (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris FCParis FC1282222111126
2Lorient127232314923
3Annecy126422013722
4DunkerqueDunkerque127142118322
5Metz126332012821
6GuingampGuingamp126152016419
7AmiensAmiens126151614219
8Grenoble125251714317
9Laval124351614215
10Bastia113621111015
11Clermont124351213-115
12PauPau124351317-415
13Caen124261416-214
14Red Star124261220-814
15Rodez AFRodez AF123361921-212
16Ajaccio11326813-511
17Troyes12327817-911
18Martigues12228725-188


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