Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 35.73%. A win for Pau had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
Pau	Draw	Bastia
34.62% ( -0.11)	29.65% ( -0.07)	35.73% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 43.07% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.01% (

0.23)

63.99% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.82% (

0.17)

83.18% (

-0.17)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.25% (

0.05)

34.75% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.52% (

0.05)

71.48% (

-0.05)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66% (

0.25)

33.99% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33% (

0.27)

70.67% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Pau 34.61%

Bastia 35.73%

Draw 29.65%

Pau	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 34.61%	1-1 @ 13.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.65%	0-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.73%