Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Pau had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Pau win it was 1-0 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
