Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.