Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.