Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 47.72%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Pau had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Pau win it was 1-0 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toulouse in this match.
