Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
