Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Sochaux had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Sochaux win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toulouse in this match.
