Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valenciennes in this match.