Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.