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Perth Glory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
May 5, 2021 at 12.20pm UK
Perth Oval
Melbourne City

Perth Glory
1 - 3
Melbourne City

Ikonomidis (31')
Keogh (35'), Kilkenny (44'), Aspropotamitis (90+1'), Warland (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bodnar (36' og.), MacLaren (45+1', 68')
Jamieson (61')

Preview: Perth Glory vs. Melbourne City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Melbourne City travel to Perth Glory with the opportunity to move six points clear at the top of the A-League table.

Meanwhile, Glory head into Wednesday's fixture looking to reduce the seven-point deficit to ninth-placed Wellington Phoenix.


Match preview

Perth Glory manager Richard Garcia pictured in December 2020© Reuters

No team currently sitting in the top seven of the A-League table have put together successive victories in their last six outings, something which could have hindered Melbourne City's efforts to end the campaign in first place.

However, three wins and two draws from their last five fixtures have left City in a commanding position as they bid to move further clear of Central Coast Mariners.

Still holding two games in hand on many of the chasing pack, Patrick Kisnorbo will be confident that their three-point lead can be extended over the coming weeks.

Jamie Maclaren netted his 20th goal of the campaign in the 3-1 win over Newcastle Jets on April 29, but Kisnorbo will be pleased that other members of the squad are still contributing in the final third.

While he has not been at his best this season, Andrew Nabbout has netted twice in his last three outings, including in the last game.

As far as Perth Glory are concerned, they are eager to end a five-match winless streak as soon as possible as they bid to avoid losing ground on the top nine.

A goalless draw with Macarthur appears to be a step in the right direction, but their only success in 11 contests came at home to bottom-of-the-table Jets.

Although goals were not an issue during the early stages of the campaign, Richard Garcia's side have now netted just twice in five fixtures.

Top goalscorer Bruno Fornaroli has failed to contribute a strike since March 24, a drought spanning six games.

Perth Glory Australian A-League form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D

Melbourne City Australian A-League form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W



Team News

Having been withdrawn at half time versus Macarthur, Joel Chianese could drop back down to the Glory substitutes' bench.

Carlo Armiento may get the nod in his place, while Brandon Wilson and Andrew Keogh are also pushing for recalls to the team.

Barring any late fitness issues, Kisnorbo could stick with the same players which cruised to victory against the Jets.

Kisnorbo was able to rest four key men during the closing stages of that contest, increasing the chances of an unchanged Melbourne XI.

Florin Berenguer is an alternative in the centre of midfield if Kisnorbo wants to introduce fresh legs into the side.

Perth Glory possible starting lineup:
Reddy; Geria, Aspropotamitis, Bodnar, Ota; Kilkenny, Malik; Ikonomidis, Castro, Armiento; Fornaroli

Melbourne City possible starting lineup:
Glover; Galloway, Griffiths, Good, Jamieson; Luna, O'Neill, Metcalfe; Nabbout, Maclaren, Noone


SM words green background

We say: Perth Glory 1-3 Melbourne City

While City have been far from perfect in recent months, they are the only team challenging at the top who are showing any kind of consistency.

With the freedom to express themselves, we expect a comfortable win for the visitors against opponents who will begin the contest on the back foot.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.34%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.44%) and 0-1 (7.19%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Perth Glory vs Melbourne City

Perth Glory
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Melbourne City
66.7%
12
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Sydney FC players pictured in November 2020
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Saturday's A-League predictions including Macarthur vs. Melbourne City
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