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Adelaide United
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Perth Glory
Sydney FC
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Perth Glory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
May 5, 2021 at 12.20pm UK
Perth Oval
Melbourne City

Perth Glory
1 - 3
Melbourne City

Ikonomidis (31')
Keogh (35'), Kilkenny (44'), Aspropotamitis (90+1'), Warland (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bodnar (36' og.), MacLaren (45+1', 68')
Jamieson (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.34%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.44%) and 0-1 (7.19%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Perth GloryDrawMelbourne City
23.53%21.13%55.34%
Both teams to score 63.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.24%34.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.28%56.72%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5%27.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.99%63.01%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37%12.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.23%38.77%
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 23.53%
    Melbourne City 55.34%
    Draw 21.13%
Perth GloryDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 5.99%
1-0 @ 4.49%
2-0 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-1 @ 2.58%
3-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 23.53%
1-1 @ 9.28%
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 3.47%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.13%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-2 @ 7.44%
0-1 @ 7.19%
1-3 @ 6.62%
0-3 @ 5.13%
2-3 @ 4.27%
1-4 @ 3.42%
0-4 @ 2.65%
2-4 @ 2.21%
1-5 @ 1.42%
0-5 @ 1.1%
3-4 @ 0.95%
2-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 55.34%

How you voted: Perth Glory vs Melbourne City

Perth Glory
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Melbourne City
66.7%
12
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2021 7.40am
Gameweek 20
Melbourne City
1-3
Perth Glory
MacLaren (33')
Good (40')
Stynes (11'), Ingham (42'), D'Agostino (84')
Aspropotamitis (70'), Sullivan (78')
Mar 8, 2020 7am
Gameweek 22
Perth Glory
2-3
Melbourne City
Chianese (53'), Fornaroli (65')
Griffiths (24'), Berenguer (30'), Susaeta (34')
Griffiths (14'), Berenguer (59'), Luna (82')
Jan 25, 2020 8.30am
Gameweek 16
Melbourne City
0-0
Perth Glory
Jamieson (53')
Soo-beom (28')
Dec 6, 2019 8.30am
Gameweek 9
Melbourne City
0-3
Perth Glory

Jamieson (9')
Fornaroli (27'), Delbridge (47' og.), Mrcela (71')
Juande (19')
Mar 3, 2019 6am
Gameweek 21
Melbourne City
2-2
Perth Glory
MacLaren (26', 35' pen.)
Baccus (21'), La Rocca (45'), Griffiths (63'), Atkinson (86')
Chianese (84'), Castro (90')
Ikonomidis (63')
rhs 2.0
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