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Championship | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Den
Bristol City

Millwall
4 - 1
Bristol City

Wallace (5'), Malone (31'), Mitchell (52'), Bradshaw (58')
Mitchell (45'), McNamara (68')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Conway (16')
Baker (73')

Preview: Millwall vs. Bristol City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Millwall and Bristol City face off at The Den on Saturday afternoon in the penultimate round of Championship fixtures.

The Lions are eight points better off than City, but like their opponents they have little left to play for in the remaining week of the regular season.


Match preview

Millwall's Shaun Hutchinson celebrates after scoring their first goal on March 13, 2021© Reuters

Gary Rowett's side had a slim chance of reaching the playoffs with four games to go thanks to successive victories over Middlesbrough, Rotherham United and Stoke City.

However, the South London side have since taken one point from the last 12 on offer and are now effectively battling for a top-half finish.

Rowett will be disappointed with his side's recent form, having lost by three goals at home to Swansea City and Bournemouth, as well as going down 1-0 at Watford last time out.

The Lions' only point since April 5 came in a goalless draw with Brentford, though not since under Neil Harris in March 2019 have they lost three league games in a row.

While Millwall can finish as high as eighth if results go their way, the best Bristol City can hope for is a 13th-place finish, though even that looks highly unlikely.

The Robins have endured a poor campaign, with experienced boss Nigel Pearson not quite being able to turn things around at Ashton Gate.

Nigel Pearson in charge of Bristol City in March 2021© Reuters

Still, reports this week suggest that Pearson - currently under contract for two more games - will be handed a three-year deal by City in the coming days.

City have games with Millwall and Brentford to conclude the campaign, but focus will already be on the summer window as 13 players - and Pearson - are out of contract next month.

Pearson's side are winless in eight matches, losing the last two of those 2-1 to Wycombe Wanderers and 3-2 at home to Luton Town.

City have performed better on their travels this term, with their return of 27 points from 22 away games one point less than Millwall have accrued in the same number of home games.

The Robins have already won at The Den this season, in fact, prevailing 3-0 in January's FA Cup fourth-round tie.

Millwall Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L

Bristol City Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Millwall's Kenneth Zohore celebrates scoring against Preston North End in the Championship on October 28, 2020© Reuters

Millwall are without Shaun Hutchinson, Ryan Leonard and Murray Wallace for Saturday's clash at The Den.

Alex Pearce sat out the narrow loss to Watford last weekend, but he could come back into the side here in place of Mahlon Romeo.

Kenneth Zohore is another who is pushing for a recall to the side, which could be bad news for Tom Bradshaw, who is without a goal in 17 matches.

As for Bristol City, they are without a whole host of players for this trip to the capital - Andreas Weimann, Chris Martin and Jay Dasilva among them.

Kasey Palmer and Antoine Semenyo were named among the subs for the defeat to Luton last week, but both men could come into the side here.

That is not likely to be at the expense of Nakhi Wells, who has netted six goals in nine games against Millwall in all competitions.

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Evans, Pearce, Cooper; Romeo, Wallace, Kieftenbeld, Mitchell, Malone; Zohore, Bennett

Bristol City possible starting lineup:
Bentley; Hunt, Vyner, Kalas, Rowe; Lansbury, Nagy, Bakinson; Semenyo, Wells, Palmer


SM words green background

We say: Millwall 1-1 Bristol City

Both sides are in bad form and have little left to play for on the face of it heading into the penultimate round of fixtures.

Millwall won the reverse fixture 2-0, but they have not completed a league double against City since 1992-93 and we can see that run being prolonged with a draw here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Millwall vs Bristol City

Millwall
55.6%
Draw
36.1%
Bristol City
8.3%
36
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Millwall manager Gary Rowett pictured in February 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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