Nations League | League A
Nov 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Italy1 - 3France
The Match
Match Report
France snatch top spot in UEFA Nations League Group 2 from Italy thanks to a Lucas Digne-inspired 3-1 victory at the San Siro on Sunday evening.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Italy and France, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash with Italy.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Belgium 0-1 Italy
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | France | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Belgium | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Israel | 5 | -9 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for France had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | France |
47.85% ( 2.02) | 24.59% ( -0.5) | 27.56% ( -1.51) |
| Both teams to score 55.41% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
