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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Norway national football team
Nations League | League B
Nov 17, 2024 at 5pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
Kazakhstan national football team

Norway
5 - 0
Kazakhstan

Haaland (23', 37', 71'), Sorloth (41'), Nusa (76')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Aymbetov (43'), Zhaksylykov (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Norway and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 1-4 Norway
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Kazakhstan

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-2 Austria
Thursday, November 14 at 3pm in Nations League

We said: Norway 4-0 Kazakhstan

 After a very impressive attacking display in Ljubljana on Thursday night, Norway will be brimming with confidence and should have no problem in claiming all three points, as most involved with the Lions may have one eye on events in Vienna. Kazakhstan have lost 11 of their last 14 away games, and without a goal yet in the group, another difficult night looms for a nation that are slightly out of their depth, and a long way from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 82.13%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 5.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.63%) and 1-0 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.88%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (2.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
NorwayDrawKazakhstan
82.13% (-1.634 -1.63) 12.43% (0.875 0.88) 5.44% (0.763 0.76)
Both teams to score 39.55% (2.095 2.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.5% (-0.5 -0.5)37.51% (0.505 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.27% (-0.539 -0.54)59.73% (0.543 0.54)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.08% (-0.437 -0.44)6.93% (0.442 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.59% (-1.192 -1.19)25.42% (1.196 1.2)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.5% (2.441 2.44)57.51% (-2.436 -2.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.68% (1.301 1.3)89.32% (-1.297 -1.3)
Score Analysis
    Norway 82.12%
    Kazakhstan 5.44%
    Draw 12.43%
NorwayDrawKazakhstan
2-0 @ 14.19% (-0.35 -0.35)
3-0 @ 12.63% (-0.63 -0.63)
1-0 @ 10.63%
4-0 @ 8.43% (-0.64 -0.64)
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.41 0.41)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.201 0.2)
4-1 @ 4.67% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
5-0 @ 4.5% (-0.462 -0.46)
5-1 @ 2.49% (-0.049 -0.05)
6-0 @ 2% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.197 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.103 0.1)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 82.12%
1-1 @ 5.88% (0.442 0.44)
0-0 @ 3.98% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 2.17% (0.268 0.27)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 12.43%
0-1 @ 2.2% (0.214 0.21)
1-2 @ 1.63% (0.235 0.24)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 5.44%

How you voted: Norway vs Kazakhstan

Norway
89.5%
Draw
8.1%
Kazakhstan
2.3%
86
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 3pm
League B
Kazakhstan
0-0
Norway
Zainutdinov (38'), Kassym (42'), Abiken (72'), Chesnokov (75')
Donnum (78')
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