MX23RW : Wednesday, February 5 00:02:09| >> :600:3807786:3807786:
Papua New Guinea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2024 at 6am UK
PNG Football Stadium
Solomon Islands national football team

P. New Guinea
1 - 2
Solomon Islands

Semmy (90+2')
Joe (45+1'), Joe (56'), Kepo (59'), Kimai (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
David (41'), Lea'alafa (68')
Fox (90+5')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Papua New Guinea and Solomon Islands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: P. New Guinea 3-3 Fiji
Thursday, November 14 at 6am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: Solomon Islands 2-3 New Caledonia
Thursday, November 14 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Papua New Guinea win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Solomon Islands in this match.

Result
Papua New GuineaDrawSolomon Islands
25.67% (-0.525 -0.52) 23.39% (0.212 0.21) 50.94% (0.315 0.31)
Both teams to score 57.74% (-1.25 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.79% (-1.42 -1.42)43.21% (1.422 1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.39% (-1.416 -1.42)65.61% (1.418 1.42)
Papua New Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (-1.155 -1.16)30.39% (1.156 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.41% (-1.399 -1.4)66.59% (1.4 1.4)
Solomon Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)17.04% (0.413 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.8% (-0.736 -0.74)47.2% (0.736 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Papua New Guinea 25.67%
    Solomon Islands 50.94%
    Draw 23.38%
Papua New GuineaDrawSolomon Islands
2-1 @ 6.5% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-0 @ 6.17% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 3.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 25.67%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.18% (0.318 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 9.66% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 9.17% (0.443 0.44)
0-2 @ 8.11% (0.285 0.29)
1-3 @ 5.7% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.78% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.39% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-4 @ 2.52% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.12% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 4%
Total : 50.94%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 4am
Mar 27, 2022 3pm
Semi-finals
Solomon Islands
3-2
P. New Guinea
Hou (33', 65'), Lea'i (71')
Wae (11')
Komolong (23'), Kepo (88')
Komolong (39'), Semmy (76')
rhs 2.0
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