Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.